Super Returns from Stock Market!

Stock Picks with consistently super returns in short run!

Name:
Location: Marin County, California, United States

Wednesday, December 06, 2006

New Stock Picking criteria

sell candidates



ADSK 76/70/76 @42.33

SPY 80/70/57 @141.78

WIT 80/72/52 @16.03



Buy candidates


HBC 35/20/33 @90.89 but HBC is within 10% of peak (98.56)!

ERTS 43/25/25 @54.12 at 54.12 - local high is 60

Wednesday, October 19, 2005

Update after some brutal days!

So - this update is simply to record the fact that all these Portfolios get adversely affected in a downturn..













Portfolio Performance compared to the Indices
As of Oct 19, 2005PortfolioS&P 500S&P MidCapS&P SmallCap
Portfolio Pick date



29-Oct-0421.25%5.82%13.77%12.96%
8-Nov-0424.65%2.73%10.51%8.77%
15-Nov-0412.64%0.99%8.07%6.11%
22-Nov-0412.64%1.57%8.41%6.07%
29-Nov-0420.41%1.11%6.98%4.51%
6-Dec-0429.60%0.39%6.25%3.35%


Tuesday, September 27, 2005

Portfolio Update

Portoflio returns from the date of pick to Sep-27, 2005 and comparison with returns on three S&P indices from those dates.













Portfolio Performance compared to the Indices
As of Sep 27, 2005PortfolioS&P 500S&P MidCapS&P SmallCap
Portfolio Pick date



29-Oct-0423.24%7.58%16.90%16.58%
8-Nov-0432.24%4.44%13.55%12.27%
15-Nov-0416.43%2.67%11.04%9.52%
22-Nov-0420.08%3.26%11.39%9.47%
29-Nov-0425.85%2.79%9.92%7.87%
6-Dec-0435.94%2.06%9.17%6.67%


Thursday, June 02, 2005

Need good Advice/suggestion!

Here is the Deal - I think that I have found something good! Last October, an idea struck me on a technique to pick stocks and it appeared to me initially, that this style of stock picking would give index beating results in pretty short-term (like weeks!). So I started spending sometime every week to pick a group of stock and track their performance. Initial results were good and so I started maintaining their performance in a Blog (http://SuperReturns.blogspot.com).



In this Blog, I kept the results of the stocks picked on November 8 and November 15. I had also made a portfolio of stocks on www.marketocracy.com for the stocks picked on November 15. Subsequently, I kept repeating the exercise for few more weeks (Nov 22, Nov 29, and Dec 6 - I even invested my own IRA money in the stocks picked on Nov 29). However, I noticed that my initial theory that I will be beating the market in shorter term did not come true. So I lost interest in making more of these stock-pickings and also slowed down on maintaining the Blog.



Marketocracy portfolio for stocks picked on November 15 can be seen on this link - cut and paste the whole link in your Browser (all the stocks in this Portfolio were bought on November 15 and no more trades have been made since then):



http://www.marketocracy.com/cgi-bin/WebObjects/Portfolio.woa/ps/FundPublicPage/source=CaEpDfCoEbJfKbKgMaKiAbDe



However, as I was noticing all these Portfolios of stocks that had been picked over many weeks, I noticed that each, and every one, of them was substantially ahead of the market now.



As of June 2, performance of these picks and comparative performance of the S&P indices has been as follows:















Portfolio Performance compared to the Indices
As of June 2PortfolioS&P 500S&P MidCapS&P SmallCap
Portfolio Pick date



Oct 2919.70%6.39%12.17%9.99%
Nov 816.51%3.28%8.95%5.91%
Nov 1514.11%1.54%6.54%3.32%
Nov 2216.41%2.12%6.88%3.28%
Nov 2912.93%1.65%5.47%1.77%
Dec 617.28%0.93%4.75%0.63%







While, it has encouraged me to start running more tests now, but the reason I have kept payment for a good idea/suggestion is to figure out:



1. How do I make sure that I am running some solid tests and covering the possible scenarios



2. How do I make more money out of this ability! In a simple world, I think that if some people with 'real' money can observe these tests closely and later on invest and benefit out of it, then that may be the best way for me!! But it looks so impractical - can someone suggest more practical way of achieving the objective here.



Please send the suggestion by email to SuperReturns At gmail or leave suggestions on the Blog http://SuperReturns.blogspot.com



Thanks for your time to read this.


Monday, May 30, 2005

It works!!

In approximately 6-7 months, after creating these two protfolios, I see that both of them are substantially ahead of the indexes.



Nov 15 Portfolio: Returns since the creation is 11.95% compared to 1.25% of S&P 500 and the best returns of 5.67% by S&P MidCaps.




Nov 8 Portfolio: Returns since creation on November 8 is 17.55% compared to 2.99% by S&P 500 and the best returns of 8.06% by S&P MidCap index.




While it did not work according to my scheme, as I was expecting these Portfolios to beat the index returns at shorter term interval (over the weeks) but it actually worked like magic in 6-7 months.




I had created few more of these Portfolios at that time (I was not tracking them as closely as these two - they were created on Oct 29, Nov 22, Nov 29, Dec 6 - they are ahead of S&P 500 by minimum 9% to maximum 15%) and all of them are showing me these wonders. Unfortunately, I had got discouraged by initial big downturn in Jan, so I haven't created any since then but I should apply the technique again and keep creating more and it will be wonderful if I can continuously repeat this performane.

































Nov 15 Portfolio
SymbolLastTodayPaidTotal
ALDN22.350.18%30.4-26.48%
CCJ41.032.86%30.492934.56%
ELBO59.890.74%40.799946.79%
FINL20.531.11%18.79999.20%
HANS71.10.88%31.99122.26%
HDB42.150.50%40.34984.46%
LCAV43.56-0.59%21.0044107.39%
LFC26.060.15%29.5499-11.81%
MCRI19.982.88%18.58887.48%
MTEX15.611.36%21.01-25.70%
NCX31.840.28%44.0499-27.72%
RAVN24.615.85%25.25-2.53%
RIMM80.371.16%84-4.32%
SFCC35.981.44%36.3498-1.02%
SSI631.78%55.8112.88%
TSRA29.922.54%33-9.33%
URBN54.162.87%4812.83%
VLTR14.321.85%20.7-30.82%
WWW22.81.47%20.91469.01%

Total Avg1.54%
11.95%
^GSPC1,198.780.10%1,1841.25%
^MID669.940.29%6345.67%
^SML323.140.00%3162.26%































Nov 8 Portfolio
SymbolLastTodayPaidTotal
BRY45.831.39%40.513.16%
ELOS31.361.98%23.9430.99%
FFIV51.772.35%42.4821.87%
IPS49.283.75%31.5356.30%
KCI64.580.78%5811.34%
MCRS44.772.47%32.349838.39%
MPX15.241.53%14.56674.62%
PSYS40.680.69%30.2534.48%
SFY34.412.56%25.799933.37%
SRX67.5-0.41%5816.38%
SSI631.78%5318.87%
TOO20.150.80%23.15-12.96%
UTHR48.81-6.06%35.509837.46%
VLTR14.321.85%18.6-23.01%
WCG35.221.73%26.731.91%
WIT21-2.33%22.54-6.83%
WLK24.47-0.33%25-2.12%
WSTC35.941.38%32.189811.65%

Total Avg0.88%
17.55%
^GSPC1,198.780.10%1,1642.99%
^MID669.940.29%619.97998.06%
^SML323.140.00%308.26984.82%


Saturday, April 09, 2005

Portfolio Update!

Well, both Nov 8 and November 15 Portoflios (ie, they were created on those two dates) have successfully and convincingly beaten the markets. Each table has stock individual returns, total Portfolio return (assuming equal weighted investment in each of the stocks) and S&P returns for large, mid and small caps. Enjoy!

Nov 15 Portoflio has returned 8.48% in last 4 months compared to the best performance of 3.40% by MidCaps in the same period. Nov 8 Portfolio has given stellar 15.4% compared to the best S&P returns of 5.74% by MidCaps.





























Nov 15 Porfolio
SymbolLastTodayPaidTotal
ALDN23.35-0.43%30.4-23.19%
CCJ43.280.30%30.492941.93%
ELBO42.3-1.63%40.79993.68%
FINL21.78-2.55%18.799915.85%
HANS59.16-2.04%31.9984.93%
HDB43.63-1.78%40.34988.13%
LCAV33.92-1.51%21.004461.49%
LFC26.580.00%29.5499-10.05%
MCRI23.53.57%18.588826.42%
MTEX20.29-1.70%21.01-3.43%
NCX39.86-0.99%44.0499-9.51%
RAVN21.08-3.13%25.25-16.51%
RIMM77.222.88%84-8.07%
SFCC31.28-3.96%36.3498-13.95%
SSI58.28-0.78%55.814.43%
TSRA44.59-0.98%3335.12%
URBN47-2.49%48-2.08%
VLTR13.08-2.24%20.7-36.81%
WWW21.50.84%20.91462.80%

Total Avg-0.98%
8.48%
^GSPC1,181.20-0.83%1,184-0.24%
^MID655.57-1.03%6343.40%
^SML319.25-1.36%3161.03%




























Nov 8 Portfolio
SymbolLastTodayPaidTotal
BRY49.24-3.34%40.521.58%
ELOS32.723.54%23.9436.68%
FFIV50.41-0.98%42.4818.67%
IPS50.35-0.14%31.5359.69%
KCI56.833.14%58-2.02%
MCRS36.78-2.67%32.349813.69%
MPX16.85-1.23%14.566715.67%
PSYS44.93-1.94%30.2548.53%
SFY27.77-2.53%25.79997.64%
SRX64.99-1.90%5812.05%
SSI58.28-0.78%539.96%
TOO24.22-2.22%23.154.62%
UTHR45.51-1.71%35.509828.16%
VLTR13.08-2.24%18.6-29.68%
WCG30.6-0.07%26.714.61%
WIT20.43-1.30%22.54-9.36%
WLK29.32-3.55%2517.28%
WSTC34.15-1.21%32.18986.09%

Total Avg-1.17%
15.21%
^GSPC1,181.20-0.83%1,1641.48%
^MID655.57-1.03%619.97995.74%
^SML319.25-1.36%308.26983.56%


Friday, December 31, 2004

Winner goes further ahead - loser continue to lag!

Nov 8 portfolio which was ahead of indexes continues to increase the lead. Nov 15 portfolio which was lagging continues to lag. This update is more than three weeks after the previous posting.





























Nov 15 Portfolio
SymbolLastTodayPaidTotal
ALDN24.75-0.44%30.4-18.59%
CCJ104.860.83%91.089915.12%
ELBO42.941.56%40.79995.25%
FINL18.3-0.65%18.7999-2.66%
HANS36.411.70%31.9913.82%
HDB45.361.02%40.349912.42%
LCAV23.39-0.26%21.004411.36%
LFC26.440.69%29.5499-10.52%
MCRI40.55-4.11%37.159.15%
MTEX19.040.21%21.01-9.38%
NCX47.3-0.30%44.04997.38%
RAVN21.311.19%25.25-15.60%
RIMM82.42-0.58%84-1.88%
SFCC39.5-0.40%36.34998.67%
SSI57.90.24%55.813.74%
TSRA37.210.22%3312.76%
URBN44.4-1.73%48-7.50%
VLTR22.1552.33%20.77.03%
WWW31.420.61%31.29990.38%

Total Avg0.11%
2.16%
^GSPC1,211.92-0.13%1,1842.36%
^MID663.31-0.18%6344.62%
^SML328.8-0.06%3164.05%































Nov 8 Portfolio
SymbolLastTodayPaidTotal
BRY47.7-0.58%40.517.78%
ELOS30.64.47%23.9427.82%
FFIV48.72-0.43%42.4814.69%
IPS47.8-0.15%31.5351.60%
KCI76.3-0.88%5831.55%
MCRS78.063.90%64.720.65%
MPX26.111.24%21.8519.50%
PSYS36.56-1.43%30.2520.86%
SFY28.942.01%25.812.17%
SRX64.2-1.68%5810.69%
SSI57.90.24%539.25%
TOO24.46-2.00%23.155.66%
UTHR45.15-1.10%35.5127.15%
VLTR22.1552.33%18.619.11%
WCG32.50.90%26.721.72%
WIT24.65-0.44%22.549.36%
WLK33.40.30%2533.60%
WSTC33.11-1.88%32.192.86%

Total Avg0.27%
19.78%
^GSPC1,211.92-0.13%1,1644.12%
^MID663.31-0.18%619.986.99%
^SML328.8-0.06%308.276.66%




Heidelberg
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